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CommBytes 7/23/07 

July 23rd, 2007 by Carolyn Schuk

Pass me the Alka Seltzer. Last week’s news glut left me hung over. I feel like unless I can report on Harry Potter texting he-whom-we-are-all-sick-to-death-of on his Apple iPhone, what can I possibly have to say?

But at some point we have to get back to real life.

So here’s a virtual cool compress for your forehead in the form of some news you may have missed because of last week’s SunRocket wipe-out and Harry Potter and the Deathless Hype.

Last week UK firm Communic8 launched its Emporia Life mobile handset for elderly people, with user-friendly features like extra large buttons and display, super-loud volume (including the ringer), and a big red pre-programmable emergency button. BBC News story reports that retailers are snubbing the gizmo and are being accused of “ageism” by advocates for the elderly.

AT&T’s endorsement of openness for the 700MHz spectrum that will open up when analog TV goes away shouldn’t be a surprise. It’s a shrewd move for AT&T to tell Google in effect “put up or shut up.”

AT&T has been in the communications and consumer service business for more than a century. Google’s in the…search engine and advertising business. OK, they bought Grand Central. Forwarding calls doesn’t make Google a phone company. Whatever you feel about “Ma Bell,” give them credit for understanding the mandates of the voice communications business.

Kevin McLaughlin of CMP Channel offers insight into how another software behemoth is doing in the telecom business. Microsoft’s small business phone system, Response Point, evidently left VARs at a Microsoft Partner Conference less than enthusiastic. One described it as “semi-functional.”

The IPTV smorgasboard peeking over the horizon may be the oncoming train of an out-of-bandwidth Internet backbone. Wes Thompson of TVtechnology.com offers analysis.

Mobile email is the next big cash cow for service providers and network operators, according to joint report by open source software company Funabol and Frost & Sullivan.

Industry analyst Infonetics has a bouquet of free whitepapers including ones on indoor cell phone coverage and the evolution of VoIP over wireless LAN in the enterprise.
http://www.infonetics.com/services/green.shtml?whitepapers/whitepapers.shtml

Picking up the SunRocket pieces: VoIPVoIP is offering a BYOD pay-as-you-go deal for SunRocket refugees.

Patent Trolling: Rates Technology is now suing Qwest over VoIP patents. The Long Island company already has Vonage, Nortel, and Google feathers in its troll cap.

I can’t close without a Harry Potter comment. So here goes: Philip Pullman’s trilogy — His Dark Marterials, the first book of which, The Golden Compass, appeared contemporaneously with the first Potter book — is far more complex and compelling than Rowling’s septet. And it ends before your interest in it does.



CommBytes 7/11/07 

July 11th, 2007 by Carolyn Schuk

Businesses are looking to get mobile in a big way in the next 12 to 18 months, with 60 percent having or planning a mobility strategy, according to Mokena, IL-based Nemertes Research study.

Unified communications are also high on the corporate shopping list, according to a brand new Infonetics research report. The Campbell, CA-based telecom research firm reports 21 percent growth between 2005 and 2006 for sales of unified communications applications worldwide. Further, Infonetics predicts annual growth to continue “in the high double digits” through 2010. Infonetics also reports that Avaya leads the worldwide unified messaging market in 2006, but Nortel, Cisco, and Alcatel-Lucent are gaining.

Mobio — the people who think that you don’t really want the Web on your phone, just parts of it — now lets you take Twitter, Digg and Kaboodle on the go with three new free, downloadable widgets.

Mobile applications are a natural for health care. And the iPhone is a natural for drawing attention. So Unbound Medical has recently announced that its mobile medical knowledge system now runs on the iPhone. The company has been selling medical applications for handhelds since 2000.

Ucompass is also looking for iPhone strokes for its iPhone-enabled wireless systems for educators.

Avanquest Software’s Mobile PhoneTools will now be bundled with Lenovo’s Bluetooth-enabled notebook PCs, letting any compatible Bluetooth cell phone function as a modem when it’s connected to the laptop. No PCMCIA card or WiFi hot spot needed.

Another way to send voice messages without a phone call from Buzz Interactive.

Yesterday VoIP, Inc. launched the beta of its new communications portal Click4me that lets you make VoIP calls through any browser-enabled mobile device. The portal also offers email, calendaring, and other office applications.

Pre-paid long distance provider OneSuite yesterday debuted its new hybrid VoIP/PSTN service, OS Hybrid. Like the Prius, it lets you keep more green.

Motorola gets closer to an end-to-end portfolio with its acquisition of Leapstone Systems and its content creation, management and delivery platform.

Also looking toward the content delivery game, Level 3 today announced its acquisition of broadband and mobile video management and streaming services Servecast, Ltd.

The Rumor Mill Keeps Grinding: Low-end iPhone in the pipeline? Dream on, says Newsweek’s Thomas Claburn.



The Lowdown on Enterprise Telephony 

June 6th, 2007 by Michele Cheung

The lowdown on enterprise telephony is more of a low-up, with pure IP PBX systems sales growth of 3 percent in the first quarter of 2007, up 76 percent from last quarter, according to Infonetics Research. In the meantime, traditional TDM PBX system sales feebly lifted its head, after five quarters running of losses, showing a flash of life in a declining picture, marked by a sorry medical chart at the foot of its bed — negative 45 percent over the last five years.

You can see which way the wind is blowing, but where exactly is the take-off for IP PBX? The launch of Microsoft’s unified communications product — Office Communicator 2007 — a spate of vendor consolidation with Inter-Tel and Mitel and Avaya as the players, and ShoreTel’s imminent IPO are the focus of current interest in the industry’s upswing.

I asked Infonetics Research Analyst Mathias Machowinski to expand on the report’s findings.

Voxilla.com: Why aren’t buyers abandoning their PBX’s for a pure unified system?

Machowinski: Just inertia. Change takes time. I think if companies will adopt OCS, they’ll keep their PBX system in place and layer OCS on top of that. It’s not like they are perfect matches for each other’s features. If a company needs some of the nice features OCS offers like presence, messaging, collaboration tools, then they’ll go there.

Voxilla.com: What kind of impact will vendor consolidation and the Avaya acquisition have?

Machowinski: Well, first with consolidation, like with Mitel and Inter-Tel, there will be fewer competitors in a very crowded market. Then, the acquisition of a public company like Avaya by a couple of private equity firms changes the landscape. Too much cutthroat competition isn’t good, because the market is at the end of the competition picture where having so many companies isn’t good for the customers and isn’t too great for the companies either. In this crowded a field, mergers like this will produce stronger more efficient companies. We’re far far from the point where you have to worry about companies becoming monopolistic behemoths.

Voxilla.com: What does ShoreTel’s IPO mean in terms of IP PBX sales?

Machowinski: This is the reverse dynamic, where ShoreTel, a private company, will be going public. Being private in its early days let Shoretel focus on developing its product without a lot of interference, and develop a strong product which was good for them. But now they’re ready to go public. The access to capital will let them expand more. So far, they’ve focused on the North American market, but this move will let them grow their distribution overseas.

Voxilla.com: In the mass of information your report gives, what most interests or surprises you?

Machowinski: That the TDM market grew at all. And that the IP phone market is growing so slowly, especially on the softphone side. I expected that to sell more strongly, especially because manufacturers can sell additional phones, almost double, for every desk phone. Not all employees need that softphone, but still many could use it. That’s where I expected more action.

Highlights from Infonetics PBX Report:

• Overall enterprise telephony revenue is on track for another year of double-digit growth.
• In 1Q07, worldwide total PBX/KTS system sales inched up 1% sequentially, and are up 8% from a year ago in 1Q06.
• The overall market will total $11.9 billion in 2010.
• Hybrid PBX systems represent 63% of all PBX/KTS system line shipments worldwide in 1Q07, and will increase to 72% by 2010.
• The enterprise telephony market was flat in North America in 1Q07, weak in Europe, and strong in Asia Pacific.
• Avaya is the market share leader for worldwide IP PBX revenue in 1Q07, followed closely by Cisco and Siemens.
• Cisco maintains a strong lead in IP deskphone and IP softphone sales, accounting for almost half the units shipped worldwide in 1Q07.

Find more data and a .jpg chart at the Infonetics Research press portal in the Enterprise Voice & Data section at http://www.info.infonetics.com.



Dual Mode Phones Race Ahead 

January 24th, 2007 by Carolyn Schuk

Mobile VoIP is a hit with consumers according to the “Mobile and WiFi Phones and Subscribers” report released today by the Campbell CA-based telecom analyst firm Infonetics Research.

While mobile phone sales worldwide were up a healthy 13 percent in 2006, the interesting number is a 327 percent growth in WiFi phone sales during the same period.

Still not impressed? Consider what Infonetices predicts for the rest of the decade: A compound annual growth rate close to 200 percent for cellular/WiFi dual mode phones.

Consumers are choosing these two to one over single-mode WiFi equipment. In 2006 71 percent of WiFi phone revenue came from dual-mode handsets while single mode WiFi made up only 29 percent of the total.

The report is certainly good news for makes of dual mode handsets; a rapidly growing field that includes established mobile phone players like Nokia as well as newcomers like San Jose, CA-based Hellosoft.

The numbers reflect user impatience with juggling multiple devices, according to Infonetics.

“Users are demanding single number/single device services, and operators like T-Mobile announced converged services based on Unlicensed Mobile Access (UMA) in 2006,” said directing analyst for wireless at Infonetics Research Richard Webb in today’s press release. “UMA is a good example of early fixed-mobile convergence (FMC), prior to the eventual shift to IMS in the long-term.”

“More operators are transforming into integrated multimedia service providers, creating converged mobile, wireless LAN, and VoIP solutions that support voice and data services across enterprise, public, and home networks,” Webb continued. “The appeal of such converged services is driving WiFi phone adoption, especially in dual-mode WiFi/ cellular handsets.”

Other highlights of the study include:

• 2G/2.5G GSM handsets made up 49 perent of worldwide mobile phone revenue in 2006; the remainder was made up by 2G CDMA, W-CDMA, and CDMA2000 handset sales.

• Worldwide mobile subscribers are estimated at 2.5 billion in 2006 (up 26 percent from 2005), and are forecast to grow 42% to 3.6 billion in 2010.

• Cisco leads in single-mode WiFi handset revenue market share in 2006, followed by SpectraLink.

• Samsung leads in dual-mode WiFi/cellular handset revenue market share, followed by Nokia.

• North America leads in worldwide revenue for single-mode WiFi phones, and Asia Pacific leads in revenue for dual-mode WiFi/cellular phones.



Statistics, VoIP and Damn Statistics 

December 7th, 2006 by Carolyn Schuk

When Infonetics Research talks, people in the VoIP and IP communications industry listen. The Campbell, CA-based market research company was one of the first to cover VoIP and has gained a reputation in less than a decade for being forward-looking and independent in its research.

In nine years, Infonetics went from a garage start-up to an international market research firm, competing with players like Yankee Group and IDC. The privately held company, which employees 20 people, today covers 10 targeted areas of networking and telecommunications.

Infonetics Research got its start when the market research company that employed Infonetics co-founder and CEO J’Amy Napolitan and her father, Michael Howard went out of business in 1990. The lessons of that failure were not lost on Napolitan.

J'Amy Napolitan

J'Amy Napolitan

“They were doing demand-side research, network testing, and trade shows,” she explains. “They were spread out too much. They had no focus.”

Howard and Napolitan bought the rights to the defunct company’s demand-side research practice — as well as its name, Infonetics, which was subsequently changed to Infonetics Research — and set to work establishing the new venture’s credentials. Napolitan’s brother, Larry Howard, also joined the business a year later to handle sales.

The start-up operated out of Michael Howard’s garage. “We were all in a big room with only a few bookcases providing minimal separation,” Napolitan recalls, “having to explain that, yes, that is a dog barking in the background, and being known on a first name basis at The Fountain Restaurant at the Fairmont — our conference room.”

Those years were so lean that Napolitan taught aerobics classes on the side to make ends meet. “I still run into a lot of people who were in my classes,” she says.

The fledgling company quickly developed a niche, covering emerging technologies and providing in-depth insight for clients. Within a year the company opened its first office in San Jose as well as offices in Boston and the UK.

The company made its mark with both the depth and timeliness of its research.

“We were typically hitting topics earlier and more in depth,” explains Napolitan. “We find out what users are buying, what features and functions are important, how they choose a vendor. Our depth was a big differentiator and continues to be.”

Among the leading edge topics that Infonetics covered in the early 1990s were ATM (Asynchronous Transfer Mode) networks, frame relay data transmission protocol, LAN switching, high speed LANs, and FDDI (Fiber Distributed Data Interface) protocol. Later on, in the mid-1990s, the company took the lead in covering IP telephony.

Infonetics also offers clients both demand- and supply-side research, which Napolitan says gives clients a balanced, no-spin market picture. The company’s reports include quarterly market share and forecast, end-user survey research, service provider survey research, and service provider capital expenditure analysis.

Staying focused is the key to Infonetics’ success. “Our goal is to be the best at what we do,” Napolitan says. “We set up our practice and methodology to be the best. We don’t do something unless we’re going to do it well.”

That focus helped the company keep an even keel during the tech boom of the late 1990s and the subsequent bust.

“The challenge is, how can you keep your integrity during a bubble,” says Napolitan. “A lot of companies made unrealistic forecasts. As a result, customers lose confidence in the forecast.” And lost confidence translates to lost customers.

Instead, Infonetics stayed “slow and steady,” Napolitan explains. “We wanted to make sure our research practice wasn’t compromised. So we kept on course during the bubble as well as the downturn. We stuck to our guns, stayed focused, and continued to do what we do well. We kept all our analysts,” she adds, “ when there was a lot of change at other companies. Customers liked our stability.”

That stability has kept many early customers with the company.

“We have worked with many companies from stealth through IPO or acquisition,” Napolitan reports. Among Infonetics’ long time customers are LAN switching company Kalpana, acquired by Cisco in 1994, and firewall solution provider NetScreen Technologies, which was acquired by Juniper Networks in 2004.

Networking giant Cisco continues to be an Infonetics client and has worked with the company for about 12 years.

“The big reason is the individuals that do the research,” says Cisco Director of Industry Relations Skip MacAskill. “Infonetics has shown great consistency and has a well-established research process. They spend a lot of time with manufacturers of technology and buyers of technology.

“When we look at overall applications in the service provider segment,” he continues, “Infonetics has been very important in seeing the trends for carriers and how they’re moving to IP. They focus on the right trends and the right topics.”

In addition to the emerging arena of video on the Internet, Infonetics is expanding its coverage in several other emerging technologies. One area is mobile wireless IP and fixed-mobile convergence, as well as the IMS (Interactive Multimedia Subsystem) architecture that Napolitan says, “will make everything work together.”

Another area that’s growing in importance is WiMax, the wireless metropolitan-area networking standard. “We started our WiMax coverage in 2005,” says Napolitan. “It’s not as sexy as IPTV, but it’s an important technology to watch – it has a lot of possibilities.”

But as the company grows, Napolitan continues to keep her eye squarely on the ball.

“We’ve been thriving at this for 16 years,” says Ms. Napolitan. “We like what we do. We’re focused. Emerging technologies are exciting, so there’s always something new on the horizon. But we never lose sight of why we’re here and what got us this far: integrity in everything we do. That’s the real secret to our success.”





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